21 results for tag: loss


Jan 20 <> Down 400 again…….

In my options portfolio, I track the available cash by subtracting the value of all the short puts (as if they were exercised - because they might be) from my cash. Today, that leaves me about 25% in cash. I don't want to go any lower, so I will only be selling premium (calls) against the portfolio until cash is back closer to 50%. I never use margin, I'm not smart enough for that. My account value is down about 5% since Jan 1, while the S&P is down 9.4%. If I was a mutual fund I would run an advertisement trying to convince you that is good performance. I'm not going to convince anyone that a 5% drawdown is good. I don't like to see it, but it ...

Jan 15. Down 500.

Years ago I resisted the Dot Com stock boom. I knew that stocks were being valued in crazy ways, I knew it had no fundamental basis. Eventually, I joined the party and played the game. I lost a whole lot of money and suffered an extended medical depression. The mental anguish was absolutely terrible. At one point, a person who was helping me through it all told me that he thought I would trade again. It took me a long time to get back in the waters, but I did - with a horrifically painful lesson learned. That lesson? :: Markets can move farther and faster than you ever dreamed. Ever since then I've kept this lesson first and foremost in mind ...

Jan 13

After closing the WalMart puts for 5 cents, we waited until a day when WMT was down 1%. We got it Tue and Wed and have a new position that is short three 63 puts, expiring Friday. This position needs to be rolled now, on Thursday morning. We have placed an order to roll this out for one week at 48 cents and subscribers will be getting the price adjustments as we click them lower during the day. We like to try and roll weekly options on Thursday so we avoid getting pushed into the last few hours of a contract. The market makers know that you want/need to roll on that last day, so pricing deteriorates. Sometimes we end up rolling expiring weeklies on ...

XLP, WMT, Jan 12

XLP was mostly unchanged today, so we did not try to add to this position. The 4 contracts in our small portfolio (under $4k account) are starting to earn a little profit. This is exactly what we expect for a vertical that is about 5 weeks from expiration. We are waiting patiently for time decay to work it's magic on this position. Patience Produces Profits. Our short WMT puts were expiring in a few days. We placed an order to close them at 5 cents, and it was filled. Entering a closing option order at 5 cents or less is commission-free at ThinkOrSwim. We originally sold the put contracts at an average price of 45 cents, closed them at 5 cents, ...

WalMart Time Decay is not enough now…

We've been talking about our WalMart trade and I've been explaining how we had created a very nice income position. Today, we are down about $1000 since inception of the trade string going back through 2014. Our market risk ( DIA Beta Weighted Delta) is about 180, and the position has no Theta. Yes, that's right, no Theta. We had sold calls against our long 900 shares, but with the drop in the price they were closed or expired on Friday. We will plan to sell new calls next week and bring in some money. This is a beginner's lesson in time decay generated by the selling of short options:: When we started trading WalMart in January 2014, it ...

The 3 Choices

Buy, sell, hold. As a trader, these are your only 3 choices, all the time, for every position. There are 3 possible results, too. You profit, you lose, you break even. The number 3 is the single most important number for a trader. The Monty Hall Problem refers to the game show, Let's Make A Deal. In the game, you are confronted with 3 doors. You have one opened for you - and then you can keep what's inside or give that prize back and switch to another door. Your hope is to improve your position with the second choice. The Monty Hall problem proves, mathematically, that your chances of success are increased when you switch doors after the first ...

WalMart profits continue to build

We are now up over $350 since the inception of this trade string. Our position is net 500 shares to the long side and the daily time decay (Theta) is $21 a day. Our Delta is near zero, so market risk is completely under control. This trade took a long time to get to a profitable structure but now we only have to manage the position. There were six transactions in WMT this week, so let's review: On Monday, we sold the Weekly 79 put for 36 cents. Later on Monday, we sold another for 42 cents. Then we sold the 80 put for 60 cents on Wednesday. Prices change every day, and this week the changes were in our favor. Today, we closed the two 79 puts for 5 ...

Our WalMart trade is now working

We track our Profits and Losses on a weekly basis. Every Monday, we fill out our form and take a detailed look at each position. There is NO reason to hold any position that is not making you any money if you have built an options portfolio. The point is income, options decay over time, and should be paying you every single day for the risk you have accepted. Stock ownership does not do this. Over the last 10 weeks, we have averaged about $250 a week on this position. In order to get to this status, we had to work on correcting a losing position for the first 5 weeks. A beginning trader would look at that period and have a hard time dealing with the ...

WalMart goes profitable.

When we started trading Walmart on January 6, we did not know how things would work out. We had a thesis, and it turned out to be quite wrong. In fact, it would have been hard to have been more wrong than we were. Within the first week, WalMart changed from a Bull trend to a Bear trend and we were down over $1500. That is not how we like to start out trading a new symbol, but the reality is that sometimes it happens. Anyone who tells you they can trade without working through losses of this type, is not being truthful. The critical thing is to have a plan from the start and to work through events as they unfold.   And they DID unfold in the worst ...

XLB #1

It's time to update the XLB trade once again. To summarize, we are in this trade because the charts tell us that is where we should be. Here at Deep Pocket Options, we like to use ETF's for many reasons: They are made up of a basket of stocks in one "sector", and sectors tend to trend very strongly over extended time frames, we don't have the risk of owning single companies (ANY company can have news that causes violent moves in the stock's price), the SPDR ETF's are very heavily traded along with their options in volume, etc. We have discussed the reasons in previous blog posts so if you are interested, please look them up. As I wrote last week, the ...